Dollar tomorrow is not sunny
2008-02-11 15:28:03.0

At 23:06 on January 8, 2008 Source: Author and Web: Liu Chuntao
Comment (2) support (1) against (1) mentioned that the United States economy would have to say that the United States, the current credit crisis, the economic predicament is naturally not escape the eyes of investors, with the 07, financial disaster continues to expand, Dow Jones, the dollar index began to fall, gold, crude oil prices have broken a record. Oh, the original record is so broken, the dollar fell. The deterioration of economic fundamentals to the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates, other countries are also following suit, and cut global campaign began, equity market is a major bright spot in the market extremely exhausted, the total shadow of the hands of policy , the injection of central banks, many of the original ideas to interrupt the market fell, rebounded and then fell, then rebounded to the melodrama many investors goods to the Five and taste.



07 dollars to complete the wave pretty high diving, the main currency decline more than 10 percent. Is many years has not experienced a decline. In addition to four months of the dollar index, in the other eight are on the decline. 83.66 from the beginning of the year is approaching the end of 76.00. System and the average parallel downward.

Looking dollar next year, the trend is still downward, the Fed's rate cut in the rescue role of the market still observed. At the same time, the sharp devaluation of the dollar, leading to the increase in demand for crude oil and other commodity prices rose sharply, the global upsurge of inflation pressure. If the United States economy is facing price pressures that the Fed's rate cut space will be affected. On the one hand, the domestic economy is facing recession, while price pressures soared. Internationally, the United States and tensions between Iran. Make the surge in international oil prices is imminent. Bound to impact on the dollar.

The international market, there are many variables in a very powerful force that is sovereign wealth Fund, with the dollar the currency in the global spread and become stronger, the sovereignty of wealth Fund, including China, to maintain and increase the value of assets of course, Let powerful energy can be aroused by the difficulties of the world-class investment bank to concede defeat. China bought Blackstone, although the shares to Blackstone Lou Jiwei eat a lot of losses. Investment may doomed to a loss, not blame his own every morning and the first thing that the plan and how to spend money to make money.

Summary above, 07 U.S. economic situation occurs, the risk of further intensify 08, the dollar fell hard currency in 07, 08 days is still not over, or down.


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